Showing posts with label Sushil Kumar Modi. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Sushil Kumar Modi. Show all posts

Thursday, August 31, 2017

Modi's Remarkable Political Maneuvers Are Nobel Peace Prize Size



Of all the heads of state on the world stage right now, Modi is the most remarkable. He promises to be the economic Gandhi of India, the Deng Xiaoping, the Lee Kuan Yew. None of the three - the Mahatma, Deng, or Lee - had to contest elections like Modi has to. And it is not just every five or four years. In India a France size election is just round the corner all the time.In that sense India is not just the largest democracy. It is a perpetual democracy. 

The true test of political leadership is if you can get the people to make short term sacrifice for long term gain, and Modi seems to have managed to do it. His grand moves of demonetization and the GST ("good and simple tax" in his words) might have dragged the growth rate down from a high of 7.9% to a still impressive 5.7% but without demonetization and the GST perhaps India could not have aspired for a growth rate of 10% or more. Now it can. 

But Modi does not have the luxury of time. The growth rate has to now go past at least 8% before he has to go back to the people in 2019 to renew his personal mandate. 

Job creation is a major hurdle. It will happen or not in the so called informal sector. Making available credit to the chaiwalas (tea sellers) of India is what will do the trick. 

On the political front Modi seems to be defying gravity. He repeated his total sweep of Uttar Pradesh. Nitish Kumar, projected by many as his most likely rival in 2019, has instead switched sides and joined him again. This would be like if John McCain were to join the Democratic Party.

Modi's challenge is to remain Prime Minister for at least 15 more years and give India sustained double digit growth rates, and then give the country a successor who will continue on that double digit path. All electoral victories however impressive will not mean much unless that economic objective is met. So far he shows all signs he will deliver. 

In his very first year as PM Modi successfully concluded India's border dispute with Bangladesh. The dispute made the Israel Palestine land dispute look like a piece of cake. Just recently he got China to step back from potential war, or at least a skirmish. These are Nobel Peace Prize size political moves. A prize that he deserves, by the way. But it will be Gandhiesque if he does not get it. There is no telling he will not fall into the white blind spot. This is Time magazine Man Of The Decade if you ask me. 

The thorn in his side continues to be the extreme right wing of his own organization. Hindu pride is fine. But anti-Muslim intolerance is offensive. If ever the BJP ends up in disgrace, that social weakness is going to be the reason why. It is the same God both Hindus and Muslims pray to. Five blind men are touching the same elephant. 


Friday, June 26, 2015

Palanquin



What Modi wave? BJP may find it difficult to take on Nitish-Lalu combine in Bihar
Over the last few weeks, politics in election-bound Bihar has taken an interesting turn. One moment, it appears that the BJP is at an advantage, the next as if the party is far from sweeping that state. ..... the issue of leadership remains a major problem for the BJP. The prime worry within the saffron camp is that it does not have a leader to match the stature of Nitish. The lone prominent face with the state BJP is Sushil Kumar Modi, former deputy chief minister but a large section does not support him ....... A dominant section within the BJP wants someone from the Bhumihar community to be projected as the CM candidate. Former minister CP Thakur remains an obvious choice but the problem with the BJP is that if its tries to go with him, the OBC and Dalit voters may turn against the party. ....... the brand value of Nitish who was a no nonsense leader and would discuss only serious matters. ...... Nitish obviously had emerged as the “giant killer” but in the last 2010 polls, he created history when the NDA under him got a massive three-fourth mandate—restricting the opposition to just 37 seats. ...... There is also the possibility of Muslim voters completely dumping the BJP. In the last Lok Sabha polls, some Muslim votes had gone to the BJP but post the alliance between Lalu and Nitish, Muslim voters look more united than ever before. In all likelihood, a strong 16 percent of Muslim votes will go en-bock to the Janata Parivar. But a great relief for the BJP is that the Yadavs, who constitute about 15 percent of the state population, are annoyed with Lalu for accepting Nitish’s leadership and will, in all likelihood, switch over to the saffron camp. Also, a huge chunk of Dalit voters which comprise about 23 percent has now broken ties with the JD-U and will head towards the party where their leader Jitan Ram Manjhi goes.
Bihar: Lalu-Nitish's Janta Parivar may find it difficult to handle Pappu Yadav
Dalits account for some 23 percent of the state’s total population whereas Yadavs’ share is 15 percent. Experts say if Pappu is able to cause a split in the Yadav vote bank, then the Janata Parivar is bound to suffer serious setbacks. ...... Lalu now can’t say with certainty that he commands holds over his fellow caste men. This is underlined from the fact that all the four Yadav candidates fielded by the BJP, such as Ram Kripal Yadav (Paltriputra), Om Prakash Yadav (Siwan), Nityanand Rai (Ujiarpur) and Hukum Deo Marayan Yadav (Madhubani) emerged victorious in the LS polls, defeating none others than the RJD candidates.
Quake rumour triggers panic; half of Patna's residents spend night in the open
The panic was apparently triggered by a WhatsApp message reportedly shared by a former legislator from Narpatganj in Araria which went viral on the social media. The message quoting the meteorological department, Chhatisgarh, said an earthquake of high magnitude with 13.4 on the Richter scale will hit Bihar twice during the night—first between 10.36 pm and 11.47 pm and next between 1.42 am and 2.20 am. It asked the masses to share it with a maximum number of people and take precautionary step...... As all efforts to send them back to their homes failed Bihar Chief Minister Nitish Kumar eventually made rounds of various city parks and asked them not to worry saying the government was with them. He even directed the police to keep a constant vigil on the citizens taking shelter in the parks and the open ground and take care of their safety. In fact, Nitish had gone to Delhi to attend a meeting over merger of the six parties but he cancelled all his programmes and returned to Patna on Saturday afternoon after coming to know about the high intensity quake hitting the state.
'Does Modi do yoga?' asks incredulous Vladimir Putin
"He is a good man, and a personal friend," Putin said in reply to questions from visiting wire service reporters from around the world
Believe it or not, Lalit Modi is the best thing to have happened to Indian politics
Lalit Modi has rocked the cozy back-scratching political world by proving that it’s just as dangerous to be Lalit Modi’s best friend as it is to be Lalit Modi’s ex-friend. He is an equal opportunity destroyer. ...... Lalit Modi is the antithesis of Anna Hazare with his Armani suits, his Rambagh Palace suites and jetsetting exile in London and Ibiza and Montenegro. But unlike Anna, he is a consummate insider. And when an insider explodes, the shit hits the fan. ..... that Modi is now being called the BJP’s Robert Vadra proves that Rahul Gandhi is fighting with one hand tied behind his back. ..... The way to mega-success in India is more often than not greased by the same things Lalit Modi accumulated – friends in high places, favours for friends in high places, favours by friends in high places. ..... Lalit Modi, the BCCI alleged that Modi “manipulated due process, handed out favours, ran the IPL for the benefit of a coterie of family and friends ....... Stories abound about how he used his proximity to Vasundhara Raje during her first term as chief minister to great advantage earning himself the title of “Super Chief Minister” operating out of an opulent suite at Rambagh Palace. ....... how Modi would brag “That was P Chidambaram on the phone, begging me to keep the IPL in India. I told him nothing doing.” And then predicted it would cost the Congress 75 seats. ..... As a student at Duke University in the US, Modi had been charged with drug trafficking, kidnapping and assault after a cocaine deal went wrong. But he managed to come back to India in the middle of his probation pleading ill-health. Perhaps that instilled in him an unshakeable conviction that he can fix anything and eventually come out on top. And that gives him the chutzpah now to burn his bridges because he’s sure that in the end it will all work out for him. ....... That might explain why the man who became powerful by name-dropping is now obsessed with name-bombing instead, damning Vasundhara Raje by revealing stories about her kindness to his cancer-stricken wife. That is an Et tu Brute move that requires serious chutzpah. But then this is the man who thinks nothing of summoning India's top journalists to Montenegro where he is on vacation while a political crisis with him at its centre rocks India. ....... Lalit Modi might end up as a red-corner-notice bhagoda today

Monday, June 22, 2015

कुशवाहा

English: Map of Bihar
English: Map of Bihar (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
Declare Kushwaha NDA's CM face for assembly polls in Bihar: RLSP
BJP's CP Thakur ready to be Bihar CM candidate
According to BJP insiders, Thakur's statement is a reflection of a deep-rooted tussle between leaders of upper castes and OBCs within the party...... In his early 80s, Thakur belongs to the powerful landed upper caste Bhumihars, who are said to be overwhelmingly backing the BJP in post-Mandal politics in the state. ...... "The BJP is likely to announce the name of former deputy chief minister Sushil Kumar Modi as the chief ministerial candidate soon," a BJP leader close to Sushil Modi said. ....... Sushil Kumar Modi, who is from a backward caste, is the most influential face of the BJP in Bihar and commands respect even among the upper castes, say some leaders. ....... However, the former Bihar deputy chief minister's disadvantage lies in the fact that two BJP leaders from the backward caste are dead set again .. .... "The BJP in Bihar is a divided house. To project a leader from either the OBCs or the upper castes as a chief ministerial candidate will antagonise the other group. The BJP is not in a position to project any one person against Nitish Kumar, who was declared chief ministerial candidate by the alliance of Janata Dal-United, Rastriya Janata Dal, the Congress and National Congress Party," said a senior BJP leader, who did not wish to be named. ....... In the caste-ridden Bihar politics, there are over half a dozen leaders from the upper castes and the backward castes who have staked claims as chief ministerial candidate of the BJP. "All of them are lobbying hard," the BJP leader said.
कुशवाहा को दिल्ली में मन नहीं लग रहा होगा। गुमनाम रहते होंगे। मीटिंग अटेंड करते होंगे तो कितनों को पता भी नहीं चलता होगा कि ये कौन हैं। तो सोंच रहे होंगे दिल्ली से पटना शिफ्ट हो जाते तो थोड़ा visibility बढ़ जाता। उनको कुर्सी भी खाली ही दिख रहा है। सुशील मोदी इंटरेस्ट नहीं दिखा रहे है -- क्या बात है? तो उन्होंने अपने पार्टी में unanimous resolution पास करबा लिया।

 ये कोइ लालु यादव तो नहीं हैं कि जहाँ जाते हो वहाँ टीवी क्यामेरा वाले लोग पिछा कर रहे हो।

जब नाव डगमगाता है तो कितनों को पता भी नहीं चलता। कुछ को लगता है तैराकी का मौका मिल रहा है। देखते देखते कोइ सीपी ठाकुर नाम का तैराक भी सामने आ गया। ये ठाकुर तो आडवाणी से भी सीनियर लगते हैं। अडवाणी के गुट के तो नहीं?

पप्पु यादव: Persona Non Grata?
JD (U) 80-90, RJD 50-60, Congress/Left 10-20
Bihar: The NDA's Turn To Crack?

Sunday, June 21, 2015

Bihar: The NDA's Turn To Crack?

मोदी और नीतिश को एक दुसरे की जरुरत है
Bihar@2025 = $240 Billion
Nitish + Laloo In Bihar
India, Nowhere Close To An "Emergency"
लव वापसी, घर जिहाद और पहले आप पहले आप
गोरों का कॉपी ना करना क्यों कि दुर भविष्य दिखता नहीं
नरेन्द्र मोदी, बिहार और नीतिश कुमार
"They Don't Do Random"
अगर बिहार में बीजेपी हार जाती है
१५% और १०% में फर्क
नीतिश कुमार और नरेंद्र मोदी: दोनों के दोनों
आल इंडिया मजलिस मुसलमान
एकीकृत जनता पार्टी का नेत्तृत्व नीतिश को ही करना चाहिए
नरेंद्र मोदी, नीतिश कुमार, सुशील मोदी, अमिताभ बच्चन
Rohingya: India's Responsibility
All Of Bihar Is One Big City
Bihar@2025
India: A 15% Growth Rate Is Possible
The Tamils Of Sri Lanka And Me
Bihar Is Now 55-45
बिहार के उभरते चेहरे
Bihar: My Projections
बिहार में आम की राजनीति
सुशील मोदी क्या कह रहे हैं?
Advantage Sushil Modi
Sushil Modi In Janakpurdham
Hello
Janakpur Patna Kolkata Industrial Corridor
Patna Kolkata Industrial Corridor (PKIC)
Mamata's Impressive Move
पहली बार अखिलेश ने मेरे को Impress किया
The International Importance Of Owaisi
Owaisi, Like Atal, Is A Great Parliamentarian
मोदी के चाय दोकान पे चर्चा
ये राजा सिंह कौन?
बिहार के लिए फोर्मुला
World, India, Bihar
दलितों के पास दो रास्ता
The Next Chief Minister Of Bihar?
Nitish In Election Mode



From the Laloo-Nitish in-fighting showing signs of a 2/3rd sweep by the NDA, to a Laloo-Nitish patch-up but the NDA still holding a 55-45 edge, to a 55-45 edge for Nitish after the Bihar@2025 clarity, now looks like it is the NDA's turn to split and possibly make way for a 2/3rd sweep across the state by Nitish. This has been quite a turnaround. But this is Bihar, give it more time. The ground situation will stay colorful. Right now, as things stand, I think it is 65-35 in favor of Nitish.

Looks like Pappu has become persona non grata, with both camps thinking it best to keep away from him in fear he might spoil their good law and order image. And if Paswan and Jitan are going to clash like this, whatever little advantage Jitan brings along with him for the BJP will evaporate.

BJP's ally declares its chief Upendra Kushwaha as CM candidate in Bihar
In the caste-ridden politics of the state, there are over half a dozen BJP leaders from the upper castes and the backward castes who have staked their claim for being nominated as the chief ministerial candidate.
LJP to oppose 5 HAM candidates in Bihar Assembly polls
In a fissure within the NDA camp, the LJP on Sunday vowed to oppose five present and former MLAs associated with former Bihar CM Jitan Ram Manjhi's Hindustani Awam Morcha (Secular) in Assembly polls notwithstanding its decision to welcome Manjhi's outfit in the BJP-led coalition. ...... "We will put up our candidates against these five present and former MLAs as some of them had deserted the LJP in the past, while in case of others (rest) our candidates had lost by a narrow margin in the 2010 Assembly polls"
Bihar Polls: Cracks appear in NDA
Paras said that he had already apprised senior BJP leader Sushil Kumar Modi of its decision to oppose the five HAM (Secular) leaders in the coming election for backstabbing and deserting the LJP after February 2005, Assembly poll in Bihar.

Sunday, June 14, 2015

नरेंद्र मोदी, नीतिश कुमार, सुशील मोदी, अमिताभ बच्चन

हम किसे मानते हैं? मोदी को या फिर नीतिश को? हम तो भारत के जनता को मानते हैं। हम तो लोकतंत्र को मानते हैं। मोदी और नीतिश से उपर हैं भारत, भारतकी जनता, और लोकतंत्र। अमिताभ को मानते हैं, लेकिन वे भी तो भारत के लोगों द्वारा दिया हुवा तोहफा है मेरे लिए। नरेंद्र मोदी, नीतिश कुमार, सुशील मोदी, अमिताभ बच्चन।

वैसे I am lucky, I have been gifted with sound political instincts. तो मैं मोदी या नीतिश जैसे लोगों को ऐसे गहरी दिलचस्पी से देखता हुँ as if I am watching a game of World Cup Soccer. That is nothing to do with being Indian. That is about being political. I don't watch rugby, or basketball, or baseball, or even cricket. There was no cricket in the Nepal I grew up in. I watch Indian politics. It is my sport to watch. बहुत दिलचस्प है। India is easily the most interesting democracy in the world.


Tuesday, June 02, 2015

Advantage Sushil Modi


नीतिश, लालु, माझी, पप्पु, काँग्रेस, वाम पार्टी सब एक जगह रहते तो ये रेस ५०-५० था। लेकिन ये लोग तो बुरी तरह बिखर गए हैं। Right now Sushil Modi has a clear advantage. And he is a good man. Modest, hard working, lightning smart. इनकी बीवी ही क्रिस्चियन -- तो इन पर वो इल्जाम नहीं लगा सकते जो कभी कभी RSS टाइप वालों पर लगाया जाता है। सबका साथ तो इनके घर से ही शुरू होता है। और क्या है कि राजनीति में अधिकांश backbenchers पहुँच जाते हैं। लेकिन सुशील मोदी तो university topper थे। नीतिश ने जो अद्भुत काम किया २००५ से २०१२ तक तो वहां सुशील सेकंड इन कमांड थे, और road और health तो इनके ही कैंप के लोग सम्हाल रहे थे। अब शायद बिहार में सुशील मोदी की बारी है।

नीतिश अलग से लड़ेंगे, लालु अलग से लड़ेंगे, माझी अलग, पप्पु अलग ---- तो सुशील मोदी तो स्वीप करेंगे। वैसा दिख रहा है। दिल्ली में नमो, पटना में सुमो। मैं तो यही चाहुँगा सुशीलजी बिहार को १५% ग्रोथ रेट दें। संभव है।