Rudy had a strategy. He was going to ignore the early states, and then he was going to win big in Florida, and then who could possibly stop Rudy?
We all know how that played out.
Now Hillary has a strategy. It is called the calendar has only 11 months to it. She is going to ignore the states this month.
Polls show her leading in OH, TX, PA. But then she was doing 10-50 or so in California and similary in New York for most of 2007. The end tally had Obama losing CA only by 10 points.
How can you lose 10 states in a row and still carry March 4? Beats me. Not gonna happen.
The superdelegates, if they are in the business of democracy, are just going to do the will of the people and get behind the candidate who won the most votes, the most states, and the most regular delegates. They can't go against that democratic current.
Sexist Bill
A few days back Bill Clinton went on record saying if Hillary is president he will "talk her through everything." Granted this guy is super gifted politically, but that is sexist talk. There are all these women all across America, and especially in California, who are salivating at the prospect of a first woman president, and Bill Clinton is saying he will do her job on her behalf. Women, take notice, this man is out to steal.
All States Count
At some level I am glad this has been such a drawn out process. That is the democratic way. This year most states will have had a say. And that will make us strong for the fall contest.
Michigan, Florida, Nevada
The white media routinely says the Clintons won Michigan, Florida and Nevada. Barack won Nevada. This is a contest for delegates, and Barack won more delegates in Nevada. And there were no contests in Michigan and Florida.
The white media has made a leap from calling Barack Osama last spring. This spring they are giving victories to his opponent that she can not claim.
Looks like we only carried Cornell, Ithaca. Otherwise Hillary carried the rest of the state. Fair enough. We did better in Illinois. I was thinking we might have done well in parts of the city.
I don't begrudge Hillary her home state success.
In The News
McCain and Obama Turn Fire on Each Other New York Times ANALYSIS-Seeds of class war sprout in Kenya's crisis Reuters Surging Obama whacks Clinton, McCain on economyAFP Clinton intensifies her attacks on new front-runner Obama Los Angeles Times A day after she lost her status as front-runner for the Democratic presidential nomination ...... eight consecutive wins over Clinton ..... next Tuesday's contests in Wisconsin and Hawaii. ..... Texas, which holds its primary on March 4, along with Ohio, Rhode Island and Vermont. ..... "It's a Washington where politicians like John McCain and Hillary Clinton voted for a war in Iraq that should've never been authorized and never been waged -- a war that is costing us thousands of precious lives and billions of dollars a week" that could be used on infrastructure, job training and healthcare. ....... "After March 4th, over 3,000 delegates will be committed, and we project that Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama will be virtually tied with 611 delegates still to be chosen in Pennsylvania and other remaining states," Penn said. Clinton works to make stands against Obama in Texas, OhioCNN Obama leading Clinton 45-41 ..... Virginia, Obama earned 64 percent of the vote compared with 35 percent for Clinton .... Maryland, the Illinois Democrat won 60 percent to 37 percent ..... District of Columbia, he won 75 percent to 24 percent ........ Obama for the first time has a lead over Clinton in the delegate count -- 1,253 to 1,211 ...... He did well with Democrats across race and gender lines Tuesday night, and seems to be eating away at Clinton's backbone of support: women. Clinton gropes for swift game-changer Inquirer.net has lost her once-gaping national poll leads, and seems at a significant financial disadvantage. ...... Wisconsin, which holds its primary Tuesday, had Obama up 11 points, suggesting, that, along with his former home state of Hawaii, he could roll off a 10-0 streak before March 4. ...... lead the total of pledged delegates by 136. ..... "The only way she could do it is by winning the rest of the contests by 25 to 30 points. We see not a single contest on the calendar left where we would expect her to win those kinds of margins." ...... The former first lady currently leads that block 242 to 156 ..... sparking comparisons with Republican Rudolph Giuliani's disastrous strategy. ..... whether the double-digit Clinton advantage in Ohio and Texas, and another potential firewall in Pennsylvania on April 22, might simply rupture under Obama's surge. Clinton struggles to convince party she's still in itGuardian Unlimited David Wilhelm, who managed her husband's 1992 campaign for the White House endorsed her opponent. ..... as Obama began to peel away sections of Clinton's supporting coalition among working-class households, women, Catholics and older voters, to win primaries in Virginia, Maryland and Washington DC by overwhelming margins ...... "Winning Democratic primaries is not a qualification for who can win the general election," he told a conference call with reporters. ..... Clinton's hopes of turning the contest around with big wins in the mega states of Texas and Ohio on March 4 might not work ..... Obama has embraced the role of Democratic frontrunner as the contest moves towards a decisive phase. ..... He won Virginia, 64% to 35%, Maryland 60% to 36%, and Washington DC by 75% to 24%. That now gives Obama 1,224 delegates against 1,198 for Clinton .... he made significant inroads into her core areas of support: working-class households, women, Catholics and older voters. Clinton Scrambles to Contest Wisconsin The Associated Press Clinton, Obama press ahead USA Today Obama Camp Claims Potomac Sweep Is Turning Point of CampaignFOXNews Tuesday night’s Potomac Primary was Gettysburg. ...... it is now “next to impossible” for Clinton to close Obama’s lead in pledged delegates. ...... nearly 500 delegates at stake in Ohio, Texas and Pennsylvania ....... she’ll be giving a concession speech after March 4. .... Obama eating into Clinton’s traditionally loyal bases of women, senior, Hispanic and white voters. ...... Obama, already claiming that he is the candidate of a “new American majority” ...... create 5 million so-called “green collar” jobs Open Caucus: Obama’s Winning StreakNew York Times Exclusive Interview: Obama Reaches Out to Critics and Republicans U.S. News & World Report Clinton strategists admit she needs to win Ohio and Texas on March 4 to remain in contention Obama overtakes Clinton in delegate tallyXinhua Her deputy campaign manager Mike Henry announced his departure Tuesday, a day after Maggie Williams replaced Patti Solis Doyle as her campaign manager. Henry was the campaign's main field architect and was best known for penning a memo last spring urging Clinton not to compete in Iowa, the first state to hold nomination contest. If Hillary Loses, Do Women Lose?U.S. News & World Report It's Obama's to lose now. The race is as good as over. The Obama Phenom is gaining velocity and surge. ....... Young women have rushed to latch on to Obama's comet coattails. A friend of mine who's fundraising mightily for him says "Obama is a woman" because he's more pro-choice than Clinton. After all, on that most stereotypical of women's issues, She loses progressives as she attempts to navigate the nonexistent common ground on this most divisive of issues. Obama, on the other hand, talks about Clinton refers to the "tragedy of abortion."the tragedy of unwanted pregnancies. In what seems to be the sunset of the era of the religious right, that's quite the courageous stand to take. ...... "I want a woman in the White House, but she's the wrong woman." ...... The nominee will either be a woman with double-X chromosomes or one with XY chromosomes who votes more like a woman than most with XX. Clinton Scrambles to Contest Wisconsin The Associated Press
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