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Tuesday, June 02, 2026

Iran Sure Is a Complex Situation

Tibet, Spiritual Literacy, and the CCP’s Fundamental Misreading
Iran: Podcasts
DemocracyTech: How Digital Tools and Diaspora Power Can Topple Iran's Regime
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Iran Sure Is a Complex Situation
When Israel struck and the 12-day war unfolded, the regime was at its weakest toward the end of those 12 days. The correct decision at that moment was to push for regime collapse. The threat does not go away if the regime does not go away. That is the very nature of the Islamic Republic.
The Islamic Republic was born to end Israel. Its leaders believe a nuclear bomb would be far more efficient than gas chambers. How can one be so sure? They have been saying it publicly for half a century. It is a publicly stated official policy. If you do not know how to read, perhaps you will not read it—but most people can read and remain in denial.
I think the world of Obama. I was his first full-time volunteer in all of New York City, the capital of the world. But the Obama deal was flawed. Iran agreed to keep uranium enrichment to low levels—under 5 percent. Yet the agreement allowed Iran to build the infrastructure that would let it quickly ramp up enrichment to 60 percent if it chose to, and it did. Going from 60 to 90 percent is a relatively small sprint. You do not dig a mile under a mountain if your true intention is civilian nuclear energy. The Ayatollah’s fatwa against nuclear weapons was a lie. Tactical lying is official doctrine. There are no genuine moderates and extremists. The entire Islamic Republic shares one goal: to end Israel. They call it a “one-bomb country.”
The Obama deal also delivered resources that helped fund the IRGC and its proxies. All those tunnels in Gaza were built with money from the Obama deal era. All those Hezbollah rockets were built with Obama deal money.
So Obama made a mistake. Trump made a mistake. Netanyahu was on the correct course at the end of the 12-day war. For Trump it might be about doing the right thing. For Netanyahu it is existential.
Let Israel worry. Let Netanyahu worry. Why should the world worry? Because Israel is only the first stop. If you think the Ayatollah is merely the head of state of Iran in the same way that Trump is head of state of the United States, you should get on Elon Musk’s rocket and go to Mars. What planet are you on? The Ayatollah will not talk to Trump because that is beneath him. The office of the Ayatollah claims dominion over all the earth. Israel is only the first stop. The office of the Ayatollah does not consider the UAE a true Muslim country, for example. You are only Muslim if you are under the thumb of the Ayatollah, and the UAE does not meet that standard.
What the Islamic Republic has done with the Strait of Hormuz ranks as one of the greatest acts of terror in world history when measured by the number of families impacted worldwide. They always intended something like this, though it arrived ahead of schedule. Terrorism is doctrine, and it is 1,400 years old. First you spread fear through terrorism, then you conquer.
What was the Pahalgam attack? First you make the Indians fear. Then you conquer India and forcibly convert all Indians to Islam. That is the official doctrine. It is called Gazwa-e-Hind. The idea is not even necessarily to succeed. The idea is to die trying. The goal might not be achieved, but plenty of damage will be done by those willing to die trying. None of that damage is acceptable. One life is too many. India pursuing an Israel-style operation inside Pakistan is the correct course of action. All sorts of terrorist leaders are suddenly finding they are no longer welcome on earth.
What is the primary thing you notice in the Bollywood blockbuster Dhurandhar? The people of Karachi live under mafia tyranny—layer upon layer of tyranny.
You will find Israeli strategists saying they would rather have an IRGC military rule in Iran without the bomb than clerical rule with the bomb. That is no solution. Trump is a politician. He has an election coming. It is one of those givens of American politics that the party in the White House loses the midterms no matter what. Trump has the added disadvantage that the same party also controls both chambers of Congress and the Supreme Court. So the pendulum is set to swing hard. But the military options have been exhausted.
One could bomb a missile factory twice, yet infrastructure damage weakens the very people who represent the only hope for change.
After the 12-day war, the Islamic Republic woke up to the new reality that a direct Israeli attack on Iran was no longer taboo. The line had been crossed. Especially after Midnight Hammer, they felt the need to hurry and stockpile more missiles.
The IRGC does not worry about elections. The IRGC does not worry about economic downturns. The official doctrine of the Islamic Republic states that if you protest, you are no longer Muslim and become worthy of death. The courts in Iran are prosecuting people today who protested back in January. Not being Muslim is lethal. That is true in Iran. The mullahs want that to be true everywhere in the world.
This is not Israel’s war. This never was Israel’s war. Israel just so happens to be at the forefront.
A peace deal that keeps the regime intact takes the whole exercise back to the starting point. Imagine another war where you have to start from February 28 all over again—only this time the regime has had a few years to prepare. And they have prepared: more missiles, deadlier missiles, and a renewed race to the bomb.
But the military options have been exhausted. Infrastructure damage is not a real option unless a ground invasion is in the offing. And it is not. And I am glad it is not.
Iran is a complex situation.
So what is the solution? DemocracyTech. Regime collapse through street eruptions. Boots on the ground—but Iranian boots, civilian boots. A mass uprising. A power that can spend $50 billion on military hardware should be willing to put $1 billion into DemocracyTech. Even $100 million would do. Give the Iranian diaspora the digital sophistication that makes success a near certainty.
A deal that ends the war, reopens the Strait, and allows months of negotiations on the thorny issues. And months to work relentlessly to put the Iranian diaspora at the forefront with sophisticated DemocracyTech. I have offered to build it.
I have a track record. I did this for Nepal using primitive digital tools by today’s standards—before Facebook, before Twitter, and before YouTube was mainstream. In fact, a guy I had hired in Kathmandu was one of the earliest users of YouTube in the city. He posted videos of the earliest street protests in Kathmandu on YouTube, and that boosted morale in the diaspora.
I have approached Sam Altman on Twitter. The OpenAI Foundation has a $250 million budget. Give me $100 million to do this. I have approached Elon Musk, who is worried about the massive corruption in South Africa. I will give you a Nepal-style Gen Z revolution to clean it all up. Fund this DemocracyTech work that will also help Iran. I have approached Palmer, the Anduril guy. Invest $100 million into this. It will generate $100 million in orders for your drones.
So far the tech bros have not responded. And they are known to respond within the day.
The regime needs to go. That is the only solution. And the military options have been exhausted. The solution is DemocracyTech that engineers street eruptions capable of ending the regime. With the US military on standby and the clear message that any attacks on peaceful protesters will not be tolerated. That is the solution.
German Radio called me Robin Hood On The Internet for my work for Nepal.







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