Iran: Patience Wil Pay
I think the US is in a sweet spot right now. Restraint is action. In fact, it is maximum action. It is the most action. It is the greatest action.
I have always been anti-war. I do feel not all possible political options have been taken along the way. There is so much more the Iranian diaspora could have done, and can still do, but is not doing it.
The US effort to reopen the Strait is commendable. It needs to be done. If there was ever any doubt, Hormuz proved that this is not, this never was Israel's war. The office of the Ayatollah does not make him head of state of Iran. That would be the president who needs the Ayatollah's permission to run for office. The office of the Ayatollah claims all earth. Hormuz has been a blessing for the Islamic Republic. What they meant to do much later they got to do now. The blocking has been the greatest act of terror perhaps in all of history. So many families around the world have been impacted.
The Strait has to be reopened as fast as possible. The blockade of Iran has to continue until there is a deal. The pressure has to be maintained.
All the Islamic Republic has to do is end its nuclear program. That is it. But they are not doing it. I don't think they will. Instead, they will choose to collapse. In fact, I am counting on it.
That's amazing. The regime would rather collapse than end the nuke program. I don't think the regime will agree to end the program. And that's okay as long as the street erupts. That would be the best possible outcome. But even that window is only a few weeks. Time is not on the Islamic Republic's side.
Military readiness helps keep the blockade in place. And sooner the Strait can be reopened, more time the blockade can have.
The Iranian diaspora did something impressive on February 14, 2026. They gathered in cities around the world. But they have needed to feverishly organize.
Iran getting a nuke does not create deterrence or some kind of an equilibrium. Iran will not hesitate to attack Israel. That is different from the USSR. That is different from even North Korea.
Ultimately it boils down to attaining spiritual clarity on Islam. There is not a military solution, or even a political solution. There is only a spiritual solution.
But for now, if the Iranian diaspora can coalesce around the basic ideas of free speech, freedom of religion, and freedom of assembly, that will be plenty.
Iran: Patience Will Pay https://t.co/ogCr93yFiY @AlinejadMasih @IranRights_org @IHRights @HumanRightsIran @NiohBerg @PahlaviReza @NoorPahlavi @ShahbanouFarah @kosareftekharii @simamoradb51053 @MarziehHamidi @shervin @spencerguard @realRayanAmiri @IranConservativ
— Paramendra Kumar Bhagat (@paramendra) May 8, 2026