Saturday, July 18, 2026
Tuesday, July 14, 2026
14: Hormuz
Suddenly, Hormuz is Less Crucial Than It Was Why? Because the real energy crunch is coming from the Russia/Ukraine war ........ And of course the overarching moral of this story is the immense folly and criminality of a war that has left America and the world in a much worse place than they would have been if Trump and his enablers had just left things alone — or, better yet, had preserved the pretty good deal Iran and Barack Obama had agreed to in 2015.
i thought this was satire, kept looking for the handle to be spelled c1audeai or something https://t.co/4AVBA93Z27
— Sam Altman (@sama) July 14, 2026
Thanks @nikitabier and the xAI team for a much improved algorithm here on X.
— Robert Scoble (@Scobleizer) July 14, 2026
For anyone who is seeing me for the first time in a while, I'm now writing about San Francisco AI innovation pretty much all the time.
If you want to know the score of the World Cup game or whether…
First up. I love the Anthropic ad.
— Robert Scoble (@Scobleizer) July 14, 2026
I've done consumer research all over the world.
And the way to win them over is to first, acknowledge them.
This ad tells me:
1. Anthropic is hearing the feedback.
2. Anthropic is working on answering the questions.
3. Anthropic isn't… https://t.co/6c0wwJ61K3
Before vibe coding became a thing, programming was already evolving in that direction. It already increasingly consisted of installing and configuring stuff other people wrote, without reading the source.
— Paul Graham (@paulg) July 14, 2026
I was in YC W10 when @paulg was my group partner (because there were only 4 @ycombinator partners).
— Lloyd Armbrust (@larmbrust) July 13, 2026
Half the dinner table had CS degrees from MIT or Stanford. We argued about database indexing like it was politics. If you couldn't whiteboard a B-tree you had no business…
GPT-5.6 sol is half the price and ~twice as token efficient as fable in many cases for accomplishing the same task.
— Sam Altman (@sama) July 14, 2026
happy to deliver at one-quarter of the price.
Trump says the US will take out Pickaxe Mountain in Iran "We're going to hit them very hard tonight and we're going to hit them hard tomorrow. And there's not a damn thing they can do about it," he said on the Hugh Hewitt Show.
Christian Bale explains why he daily drives a 2003 Toyota Tacoma despite being worth over $120M
Jeff Bezos' ex-wife MacKenzie Scott donated $26.3B in 5 years — yet she's richer now. The 'giving' math most people get wrong Beyond the numbers, Scott’s method is unusual. She operates through Yield Giving (5), the philanthropic platform she founded in 2022, and uses what’s known as trust-based philanthropy, a model the Chronicle of Philanthropy describes as providing unrestricted funding that nonprofits can spend as they see fit, with minimal application and reporting requirements (6).
Zelensky says the war’s next battlefield makes territory almost irrelevant — ‘It matters far less whose territory is larger’ “Russia is pummeling Ukraine with salvo after deadly salvo of drones, cruise missiles and ballistic missiles; Ukraine is using ever more sophisticated and longer-range drones to drive Russia’s fleet away from Ukraine in the Black Sea, starve Russian-occupied Crimea and, most effectively, strike oil facilities and military installations deep inside Russia,” Schmemann writes............ “Long lines for gas in Moscow and black smoke billowing from a refinery in distant Omsk, and images of victims being pulled out of demolished apartment blocks in Kyiv tell the rest of the story.” ....... “If you stop the enemy on the battlefield, if you stop the war on land, and if you deny him dominance at sea … then the next battlefield becomes the sky,” the president said. “And frankly, in that contest it matters far less whose territory is larger.” ........ the Ukrainian president said that Ukraine needs 300 Patriot missiles for the winter, including 100 per month. ........ “Interceptors, and specifically Patriots, have replaced artillery shells as the indispensable weapon for Ukraine in what may well be the endgame of this war. ........... a “robot army” is changing ground warfare in the conflict. .............. “Battalions of ground robots — tracked and wheeled machines that deliver supplies, haul ammunition, evacuate the wounded, lay mines and, increasingly, hold land — now conduct thousands of missions every month........... That has made them an indispensable tool for Ukrainian infantrymen who spend monthslong rotations in buried bunkers hiding from flying drones,” the report said.
Newt Gingrich likens Iran strategy to Lincoln's 'Anaconda strategy' Newt Gingrich, former House Speaker, likens President Trump's Iran strategy to Abraham Lincoln's Civil War 'Anaconda strategy.' He details how the U.S. is methodically applying pressure on Iran, noting that allies are increasingly frustrated with Iran's actions, not America's. This measured approach aims to achieve long-term foreign policy objectives.
WSJ exposes Trump’s 'unprecedented' state capitalism According to the Wall Street Journal, President Donald Trump has sought to fuse government with business and create a “state capitalism” that is “unprecedented” in recent history. Many commenters have suggested, however, that “this is not state capitalism” but “another ism MAGA is always yelling about.” ............ As the Journal explains, Trump played an instrumental role in Apple CEO Tim Cook’s decision to go into business with the microchip producer Intel, which was struggling after sitting out the early AI boom. Trump pushed Cook to hire Intel to manufacture some of Apple’s new device chips, and Intel has since shown a dramatic turnaround — a financial windfall that has benefited Trump personally, as he bought a “significant share” of Intel stock before its value shot up after the deal with Apple was announced last month. .................. “I think we found the communists,” posted HuffPost White House correspondent S.V. Date. “Something something communism,” posted Lincoln Project co-founder Rick Wilson. “Seems kind of socialist,” noted journalist Brahm Resnik. “State ownership,” came another response. “And he calls Mamdani a commie.” ........... A year ago, the CATO Institute wrote that Trump’s policies mirror the “populist authoritarian movement” spoken of by libertarian thinker Roy A Childs Jr. when in 1982 he warned that the New American Right was working to build a country that would be “hostile to free markets and committed to some form of managed economy. Forty-three years later, Donald Trump is president, and the Wall Street Journal’s chief economics commentator describes his policies as ‘state capitalism,’ a ‘hybrid between socialism and capitalism in which the state guides the decisions of nominally private enterprises.’” The Journal takes things even further, arguing that Trump is “imitating the Chinese Communist Party by extending political control ever deeper into the economy.”
.............. Another example came last week, when Trump announced the launch of his “Freedom Fuel Network,” which imposed price controls on a series of Philadelphia gas stations, prompting a slew of comparisons to the “ism” so vocally reviled by Trump. As one commenter said of the news, “I thought we were fighting against communism?”
Tuesday, July 07, 2026
Monday, July 06, 2026
6: Bryant Chou
Come watch roast the YC Partners original sites!
— brryant (@bryantchou) June 19, 2026
And get a peek of ploy's insane capabilities. https://t.co/YwATr2G549
The founder in their 40s with taste and discernment is the new gentleman unicorn founder
— Garry Tan (@garrytan) July 5, 2026
Because there can be 100x to 1000x of them working at their beck and call via agents and software factories all the time https://t.co/VV5GOgI12h
The age of the 40-year-old founder is back.
— Gabriel Jarrosson (@GJarrosson) July 5, 2026
Bryant Chou spent 12 years as CTO of Webflow, which now powers something like 1.5% of the entire internet. He's back in the current YC batch with Ploy, an AI marketing platform, and he describes himself as "a bit of a boomer, double…
After launching last week, we slurped over 14,000 sites, sent over 20,000 growth reports, and gave every business a platform to turn their website into automated growth. Here's how ploy works 👇 pic.twitter.com/frDz4Eo26q
— brryant (@bryantchou) June 26, 2026
Most people don't realize how important design thinking is to a better life. It's not about cost. It's about how you organize things and what values you incorporate. https://t.co/NJ2W7rRrvx
— Vinod Khosla (@vkhosla) July 5, 2026
Welcome to the second half of the year.
— Nikesh Arora (@nikesharora) July 6, 2026
The actions of hyperscalers in terms of their capital commitments will be key as the year proceeds, expect an uptick across the board, the demand is real.
The flip side - the funding sources will need to be from the capital markets.…
"No one can beat death. The best you can hope for is a tie after extra time."
— Paul Graham (@paulg) July 5, 2026
— Jan Houtema
grateful to the people that created the idea of america, everyone who built it over the past 250 years, and the people who will carry it forward for the next 250.
— Sam Altman (@sama) July 5, 2026
most impressive social experiment in history.
Happy Birthday, Ranveer Singh. ❤️
— Aditya Dhar (@AdityaDharFilms) July 6, 2026
Some films stay with you forever. Dhurandhar will always be one of those films for me. Not just because of the story we told but because I got to witness something very few directors ever get to witness.
I’ve always known you’re an extraordinary… pic.twitter.com/Nuj5RTielg
Next: Chakravyuh (5 Movies) https://t.co/K48a8MgD21 Could @kritisanon do it? @DishPatani maybe?
— Paramendra Kumar Bhagat (@paramendra) July 6, 2026
Thursday, July 02, 2026
2: Pakistan
BREAKING: Two people have climbed to the top of the Empire State Building in New York City, holding a banner from the skyscraper's antenna reading, "When the power of love beats the love of power, the world knows peace."
— Fox News (@FoxNews) July 1, 2026
As of now it's unclear how the pair reached the top of the… pic.twitter.com/rUPZ6nc1eK
Orwell was a genius https://t.co/tdjCOKOEtX
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) July 1, 2026
Animal Farm by George Orwell, in short:
— Krzysztof Szczawinski 🇵🇱 (@Kristof_Poland) July 1, 2026
1. Old Major, the fattest pig on the farm, delivers a sermon about "liberation." He has never missed a meal in his life – but he is the most envious of the Man – the producer, the entrepreneur…
2. “Whatever goes upon two legs is an… https://t.co/oJg3gPGW74 pic.twitter.com/IDPecxnZGO
Atlas Shrugged made simple:
— Krzysztof Szczawinski 🇵🇱 (@Kristof_Poland) June 30, 2026
1. Society runs on a small number of highly capable producers – industrialists, inventors, engineers – whose work everyone depends on but takes for granted.
2. The system starts rewarding need over achievement: the more capable you are, the more… https://t.co/MvP5tgT8D5 pic.twitter.com/fqOUOvwuoR
The Road to Serfdom made simple:
— Krzysztof Szczawinski 🇵🇱 (@Kristof_Poland) June 30, 2026
1. Plan the whole economy: someone must decide what gets made and who gets what, since people don’t naturally agree on one set of priorities.
2. These decisions are too big and detailed for normal democratic debate, so power shifts to a smaller… https://t.co/r2ySHjrbGy
Alex Karp’s CNBC interview is going to be widely discussed and debated.
— anand mahindra (@anandmahindra) July 2, 2026
My initial take on it:
Some will call Alex’s comments self-serving but there is an underlying argument he makes which I think is worth taking seriously: AI has three layers. Compute. Model. Application.… pic.twitter.com/vTLTW1RtBE
The climbing is the least impressive part of what this couple does.
— Aakash Gupta (@aakashgupta) July 2, 2026
Angela Nikolau and Ivan Beerkus reached the top of the Empire State Building yesterday, dropped a peace banner at 1,454 feet, got engaged on the spire, and climbed down into NYPD custody. Netflix profiled them… https://t.co/DMdHkadOE2
Free money, housing, etc acts as a massive financial forcing function to draw illegals to America and Europe https://t.co/tbCn7asfuX
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) July 1, 2026
1000+ years. Survived 6 major earthquakes & a major fire. Still stands perfectly straight — 0° inclination.
— Raghu (@IndiaTales7) July 2, 2026
No cement. No mortar. Pure Chola brilliance. pic.twitter.com/jmfsteCBsi
Japan’s ₹1 Trillion Investment in India. 🇯🇵🇮🇳 pic.twitter.com/URffltfkmW
— Aditya Raj Kaul (@AdityaRajKaul) July 2, 2026
going to world cup games is always awesome, but watching the USA win in the USA during USA birthday week was just incredible
— Sam Altman (@sama) July 2, 2026
Wednesday, July 01, 2026
1: Melat Kiros
Banger https://t.co/uZXsLYZbx9
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) June 23, 2026
Greg. I bring to you the cheapest compute in the world.
— Paramendra Kumar Bhagat (@paramendra) June 24, 2026
Himalayan Compute: 10 Years To A Trillion: Detailed Roadmaphttps://t.co/EOVYr5utRn
Himalayan Compute: 10 Years To A Trillion: Detailed Roadmaphttps://t.co/EOVYr5utRn
— Paramendra Kumar Bhagat (@paramendra) June 24, 2026
Baseten's Path To A Trillion https://t.co/e3PTeAIlop
— Paramendra Kumar Bhagat (@paramendra) June 24, 2026
Wednesday, June 24, 2026
AI and Robotics: The Ultimate Path to Radical Government Shrinkage
AI and robotics are not partisan. They are tools of abundance, governed by physics, code, and incentives rather than ideology. When pursued to their logical extremes—general intelligence, dexterous robots capable of most physical labor, and integrated automation across sectors—they point toward a society with dramatically smaller government and far lower taxes than even the most ambitious small-government advocates have typically proposed. This outcome emerges not from political preference but from technological necessity and economic reality.From Scarcity to Post-ScarcityToday's economies rely on massive government apparatus partly because of scarcity: limited resources, imperfect information, and the high transaction costs of coordinating human labor. Welfare states, regulatory bureaucracies, education systems, healthcare administration, and large militaries exist to manage trade-offs, redistribute resources, insure against risks, and enforce rules amid human limitations.
Advanced AI and robotics erode these foundations. Robots and AI systems can perform physical and cognitive work at scales and efficiencies humans cannot match. A mature robotics economy could produce goods and services in such volume that basic material needs—food, housing, energy, transportation, and healthcare—approach zero marginal cost for large populations. Historical productivity gains from mechanization, electricity, and computing already transformed societies; AI multiplies this by orders of magnitude through continuous self-improvement, 24/7 operation, and precision without fatigue or error.
In such a world, the rationale for expansive redistribution shrinks. If productive capacity is effectively unlimited and distributed through markets, voluntary mechanisms, or new ownership models (such as widespread equity in AI/robotics capital), the need for complex tax-and-transfer systems diminishes. Poverty becomes primarily a distribution or motivation issue rather than a production one. Programs designed for 20th-century industrial economies become relics.Automating Government ItselfGovernment is labor-intensive. Consider the scale:
- Tax collection, compliance, auditing, and entitlement administration employ vast workforces and require enormous oversight.
- Regulatory agencies monitor industries, enforce rules, and adjudicate disputes—tasks ripe for AI-driven monitoring, predictive enforcement, and smart contracts.
- Education and healthcare delivery involve huge administrative layers that personalized AI tutors, diagnostic systems, and robotic care could streamline or bypass.
- Even core functions like defense and policing could see radical efficiency gains from autonomous systems, reducing personnel needs while potentially increasing capability.
No major political platform in recent decades has proposed shrinking the federal apparatus to anything approaching this vision. Even limited-government proposals typically aim for marginal cuts or efficiency reforms within the existing framework. Technology enables going further—dramatically so—by making the framework itself less necessary.Taxes in an Age of Radical ProductivityTaxes exist to fund government and influence behavior. In a high-productivity AI/robotics economy, required revenue plummets. If GDP multiplies while core government functions automate, the tax burden as a share of output could fall to levels that would make historical low-tax eras seem burdensome. Dynamic scoring of growth effects would be extreme: each percentage point of automation-driven expansion compounds.
Revenue models could also evolve. Land value taxes, congestion fees, or voluntary mechanisms in a wealthy society might suffice. Wealth from AI capital ownership, if broadly distributed through pensions, sovereign funds, or market mechanisms, reduces political pressure for punitive redistribution. The Laffer Curve's peak shifts dramatically upward with growth, but the needed revenue baseline drops.
Critics might argue this ignores inequality or displacement. Yet the same technologies that automate jobs also create new opportunities and cheapen life’s necessities. Historical parallels—agricultural mechanization freeing labor for industry, computing creating unforeseen professions—suggest adaptation, especially with tools that amplify human creativity. The policy challenge is transition management, not permanent large government.Beyond PartisanshipThis vision aligns with neither traditional left nor right platforms. It exceeds conventional conservative small-government rhetoric by rendering much of the state optional through abundance rather than austerity. It undermines progressive instincts for ever-expanding administration by making centralized control less competent and less necessary than decentralized intelligence.
Implementation requires clear property rights, open innovation, and avoidance of regulatory capture that entrenches incumbents or slows progress. Misuse—surveillance states, AI monopolies enforced by government, or weaponized regulation—could lead elsewhere. The direction depends on choices, but the technological gradient pulls toward efficiency and smaller coercive institutions.
AI and robotics expose a deeper truth: many political battles assume fixed scarcity and human limitations. Technology dissolves those assumptions. The resulting society could feature unprecedented individual autonomy, voluntary cooperation, and focus on higher pursuits—exploration, science, art—precisely because the machinery of compulsion and redistribution atrophies.
The logical conclusion is not a prescription for any party but a forecast: pursue capable, safe AI and robotics aggressively, govern the transition wisely, and prepare for a world where government is small because abundance makes it so. No ideology owns this future; reality delivers it.
