Thursday, March 12, 2020

The Coronavirus Pandemic Is Like The Spanish Flu (1918-1922)

The Most Responsible Head Of State On The Planet



The coronavirus pandemic is like the Spanish flu from a hundred years ago. That is the parallel that comes to mind. The projections are rather drastic. If half the global population gets infected, or even one third, and the fatality rate ends up being just 1%, then

Population: 8 billion
1/3rd of that: 2.6 billion
1% fatality rate: 26 million
2% fatality rate: 52 million
3% fatality rate: 78 million

These are World War II-style numbers.

This could play out over a period of 18 to 36 months. The global economy will see a major hit. The geopolitical map will be looking fundamentally different.

There is no cure. Social isolation seems to be the only thing that works. But it is hard to organize.

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