Explaining Early State And National Polls
Obama now leads in Iowa and New Hampshire and South Carolina. Hillary has widened her national lead. How do you explain that?
In the early states Obama leads because the voters in the early states have already gone through their puppy love phase with the Clinton name that sends good vibes from the 1990s. Now they are looking more closely, learning more about the candidates, and in Obama they like what they see.
Nationally a lot of voters are barely starting to pay attention to the race. They are like, did you say the election is on? I did not know. This early? And they hear the Clinton name, and they are like, I like Clinton, sure. I will bet you quite a few of them think Bill Clinton is running again. He has already done his time in detention and how he is back.
This might be hard for the hard core to believe, but that is what is going on. Give them some time. When they learn more about Obama, they are going to fall for him just fine.
It is going to be a Barack Obama-Hillary Clinton ticket.
I expect Barack Obama to take the national lead perhaps in December, even late in December. Barack will have a Christmas gift to take home: a lead in the national polls. Until then it helps to not be in the lead. Then your volunteers and workers and staff are working harder, are more on the edge, are more focused. To go from being number two to number one is also momentum. And momentum is the name of the game.
Barack will sweep. He will win Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, South Carolina. And he will also sweep all the way to February 5. Midnight of February 5, the Democratic primary will be over.
I hope we wake up on February 6 to the news of a Barack-Hillary ticket.
And in the general election that ticket will sweep the country like Ronald Reagan in 1984.
Good times are here.
In The News
Obama whips up crowd before debate Chicago Sun-Times Obama whipped up a crowd of several hundred this afternoon at a rally in a parking lot outside the field that's hosting Tuesday night's forum. The Illinois senator said he has ''home field advantage.''
Labor Sets the Stage for a Democratic Forum New York Times 12,000 members .... bills in Congress that would make it easier to unionize and give all firefighters and police officers the right to bargain collectively. ...... the second forum the Democrats will attend within a week; a third sponsored by the Human Rights Campaign will be held on Thursday ..... Dick Gephardt had the endorsements of 23 unions during the 2004 presidential primary season ...... A.F.L.-C.I.O., a federation of 55 unions representing nearly 10 million workers ..... 205,000 union members did volunteer work in the 2006 campaign and that the federation’s political program contacted more than 13 million members of unions and union households ..... Labor leaders said the Republican presidential candidates were invited to take part in the Chicago debate, but none of them filled out a labor questionnaire sent them — a precondition for participating in the debate.
Presidential candidates to debate in Chicago
Giuliani's daughter backs Obama Times of India
Obama slams Clinton's 'special ties' Times of India
Clinton opens up lead over Obama in new poll
Middle America, Meet The Hackers
Who Paid for Sarkozy's Vacation? Forbes The estate can be rented for $30,000 a week ..... "In every situation, and even on vacation, he represents France" ..... "I'm in Wolfeboro because I have friends who have been coming here for years, who told me that it was rural America, the America we love, with forests, lakes and tranquility," Sarkozy said. "They have been coming for years, they rented a house, they invited us, period." ...... Sarkozy lost his temper with two American news photographers covering his vacation, jumping onto their boat and scolding them loudly in French.
Obama Can't Wait To Meet Rudy's Daughter CBS News
Giuliani child draws attention as Obama supporter
Clinton proposes crackdown in mortgage market Reuters
Clinton proposes crackdown on predatory lenders
Sen. Clinton slammed for taking $400K from lobbyists CNN
Giuliani calls for tougher laws to combat sexual abuse of children San Diego Union Tribune tougher laws against the sexual abuse of children and greater enforcement of regulations .... two of the biggest problems facing youngsters: sex abuse and drug use. ..... control an increasing international business of child pornography.
Sarkozy snaps at photographers while on US holiday Independent
10 things you should know about VoIP over wireless TechRepublic your VoIP service, which is usually far less than the cost of cell phone service and may offer free unlimited international calling, something you don’t get with most cellular plans. Lenovo or No, Linux Not There Yet Red Herring analysts say it’ll be years before desktop Linux can seriously threaten proprietary systems like Windows. .... “In terms of elegance and aesthetics, Microsoft and Apple are many years ahead of Linux.”
Lenovo to offer Linux on laptops
Large numbers of US weapons delivered to Iraq gone missing: report People's Daily Online
190000 US guns supplied to Iraqi forces missing
S Asia flood victims desperate for food, clean water
Giuliani backs Obama
Pure Horserace: Romney Feels The Heat
Wal-Mart reaches deal with local company to enter India
Career women in Japan find a blocked path Since the Equal Employment Opportunity Law was passed in 1985, women have become a common sight on factory floors, at construction sites and behind the wheels of taxis. But they have had much less success reaching positions of authority, which remain the preserve of gray-suited salarymen. ..... women held 42.5 percent of managerial jobs in the United States in 2005 ...... the nation's notoriously demanding corporate culture, particularly its expectation of morning-to-midnight work hours. .... Even with cases of blatant discrimination, lawsuits remain rare because of a cultural aversion to litigation. Another big problem has been that the equal opportunity law is essentially toothless. ...... ingrained social attitudes about gender roles. ...... she is the only woman in a group of some 160 heads of Nissan suppliers. The first time she attended the group's twice-annual meetings, she says she was asked to wait in a room with secretaries. ...... she earns 10 percent to 20 percent less than men her age. Younger male colleagues ask her and other women to push elevator buttons for them and serve tea.
Darfur political process resumes after long deadlock
Poll: Clinton widens lead on Obama USA Today