Friday, November 18, 2005

Bill Clinton Is Now Anti War Like Dean


About war policy, a few guidelines can be suggested.
  1. The military is there for a reason. It can be put to use.
  2. But it should only be put to use as the weapon of very last resort after all other political, diplomatic and economic options have been exhausted to the hilt. Because war is always a nasty business. Lives are lost.
  3. Study the enemy, understand the enemy, measure the stakes, and go in with a very clear goal and strategy.
  4. Have a clear exit strategy before you go in.
  5. Build a coalition. Don't go in alone.
  6. Go in with full force, wage a decisive victory, and come out swiftly. Do not invent new missions while on ground.
  7. America is not an empire. Do not make attempts to pretend otherwise. Respect local sentiments against foreign military occupations. In the worst case scenarios, you can be an intervening force, but never an occupying force.
I think Bush lost Dean on point (2). Dean was offended that the country got misled into this war. Dean is no pacifist. (Howard Dean Is No Pacifist) It is just that he thinks a president needs to make an honest case for war, and only use it as a weapon of last not first resort.

Now Bill Clinton has gone public against the war, in Dubai. He has broken precedence.

Republican Senators are losing patience. It is not a good feeling that you might have been duped.

Upto two thirds of Americans now oppose the war. That is a lot of confused, angry people out there.

Clinton: Mistakes made in Iraq Newsday, NY
Iraq invasion big mistake: Clinton Trade Arabia
Invading Iraq a big mistake: Clinton Times of India
Bill Clinton Says Iraq War "Was a Big Mistake" About - News & Issues
Hillary Clinton Attacks Cheney on 'Torture' NewsMax.com
Clinton is the world's most powerful agent of change'
Economic Times, India
Esquire: Clinton is world's "most influential man" Reuters
I won’t have invaded Iraq the way Bush did: Clinton Peninsula On-line
Iraq Criticism: Fool us once ...
Seattle Post Intelligencer
Bubba blasts war
New York Daily News, NY
Former President Clinton Says Iraq War 'Big Mistake'
Voice of America
Clinton attacks Iraq invasion
The Age (subscription), Australia
Clinton: Mistakes made in Iraq invasion
Aljazeera.net, Qatar
Clinton says US made 'big mistake' in Iraq
MSNBC
Iraq invasion big mistake: Clinton
Trade Arabia, Bahrain
Clinton calls invasion ‘big mistake’
Fort Wayne Journal Gazette, IN

Short Stories

Social Security, School Vouchers, And Class Warfare


Social Security, what is the concept?

Social Security (United States) Wikipedia ..... In the calendar year 2004, it paid out almost $500 billion in benefits. .....

School vouchers Wikipedia .....

On Social Security the W crowd suggests private accounts. On public education they propose test scores and school vouchers. Both are lousy policy but smart politics. Politically they are trying to drive a wedge.

When you introduce private accounts, you are saying some of the money that otherwise would go into Social Security will no longer do so. So you weaken the Social Security pot. And those who do depend on their Social Security checks, as opposed to those for whom it is beer money, will get hurt.

I am not against private accounts. The Wall Street has a limitless appetite for money: that is how stock prices go up. But do that without messing up Social Security. So if people pay $10 of their $100 income to Social Security, they should continue to do so. But then they should turn around and save $5, and that money should go into private accounts. If you have such faith in Wall Street to take care of your retirement, I am sure you will scrimp and save the additional five dollars.

As for the politics part, there has to be a counter move. Maybe we should pass an amendment to Social Security such that everybody still chips in, but payments are stopped to those for whom it is beer money. That way you solve the insolvency problem.

On school vouchers, I am all for competition. And I do realize there are some smart students stuck in public schools that are sub par. But then those schools are sub par because they don't have enough money. So if you take away their money, they are going to end up even less good. So draining money from those schools is a very bad idea.

Instead there should be federally funded scholarships for those students. If you are in a public school, and you do well, you earn scholarships to attend private schools.

And we should at the same time increase funding for the sub par schools. You do that by making them less dependent on property taxes.

And I am all for test scores. But if you do not invest in increasing the quality of the education, and only invest in testing, what are you doing? Testing is the icing on the top. But W talks like it is the cake.

Stop the class warfare. Think in terms of the public good.

W is waging a classic class war. With school vouchers you try to pit a few less well off families against many less well off families. Normally they would stay united and Democratic. With private accounts, you pit the beer money people against those who really need it.

Like Britain, India and Pakistan. Britain said, you want independence? You can have it, but we are going to prove to you you will kill each other on your own. And so they organized a messy partition. The wounds have still not healed.

The powerless often are at the very brink of infighting. But it is not good policy to push them off the slope.

Superpower Talk, Infrastructure Talk


America is not going to be the sole superpower forever. That is a fact. In the long churn of history powers emerge and subside. About 800 years back China was the number one country on the planet, on the cutting edge of science. 500 years back Europeans were barbarians, busy in their little fights, sticks and stones. We have all heard of Genghis Khan. The 19th century Britain claimed the sun never set on its empire, those screwed up Brits. America dominated the 20th century. It is my analysis this 21st belongs to Asia. But I expect America to be the number one country for much of my working life. It is because it is a more polished democracy than India, and China is not even a democracy. The biggest reason is that America is the most diverse country on the planet. That is why Europe is no competition. Europe is decades behind America on diversity issues.

And America is not a white country. It might have been, and there still are residues. But the future offers to be colorful.

TIME.com Print Page: Top Stories -- The Coming of the Minority ...
TIME.com: Welcome to America's Most Diverse City -- Page 1
CBS News | Whites Now A Minority In California | March 30, 2001 09 ...
NPR : Whites Now the Minority in Texas

So when I say America will continue to be the leading country, I am not paying homage to the whites. I am paying homage to the idea of democracy. The best thing America can do to make sure it stays the number one country is to take race relations in this country to a whole new level. I guess it could also balance the budget. And it could work on the free wireless broadband idea. And the idea of free, ad-based books online. And Americans could lose weight.

But for me it is not superpower talk. It is not about the ego of nations and states. For me it is about the individual: individuals in America, and India, and China, and everywhere. For me it is not about the relative strength of nations, but the absolute living standard of people everywhere.

So if the per capita income in America is $40,000, I want it to go up. If the per capita income in China is $6000, I want it to go up. If the per capita income in India is $3000, I want it to go up.
If the income in the US goes from 40,000 to 60,000 in a decade, but in China it shoots from 6,000 to 15,000 in the same timespan, China is growing faster, and all the glory to it. Everyone should be happy: more Chinese are rising out of barebones poverty.

There are people on the left and the right in America who sound alarmist on China and India. Those are racist sentiments. Do not demonize the dirt poor. An average Indian is dirt poor.

For me it is about progressive thinking, and the political, social and economic infrastructure. There is work to be done in every country on that infrastructure. And economic growth is truly a win win game.

China does not grow at the expense of America. Some people are like, oh, but China now manufactures many cars. So? Imagine a world with three billion cars, all electric. How is that for an idea?

You can not be for wealth creation in all income brackets and denounce the natural churn of the marketplace. Education and health are public policy failures. Citizens and public elected officials need to take responsibility. Don't blame those on the corporations.

And for me race relations are not about history, but more science and mathematics. To me democracy is a postulate, it is called one person, one vote. And build your various models from that basic postulate. When I build it all the way, the world looks like this: Reorganized UN.

Thursday, November 17, 2005

DFNYC, 100,000 Strong, Scalable Organization


Money, Message, Organization
Does Hell Have A Kitchen?
2006: When DFA Could Really Grow
Blogging Is Scalable Media
The One Voice Concept
One Blog One LinkUp One Atom

If you can not register, you can not vote, at least not in this country. In Nepal, you don't have to register, you just show up at the booth. I think the system in Nepal is superior. Democracy is about having no barriers between the voter and the booth. Correct that. All that was before the king's coup of 2/1.

If you will not get a Blogger account, you can not participate in the one voice concept. It is like registering. But then universal blogging also makes possible two other things, among others: (1) scalable media, and (2) scalable organization.

I have talked about scalable media earlier: Blogging Is Scalable Media.

In this blog post I wish to touch upon the concept of a scalable organization.

Say we are serious about taking the Congress back in 2006 - I know I am - and we wish DFNYC to grow accordingly. What would be the best way to do it? What would be the best way to grow from 100 to 1,000 to 10,000 to 100,000? Is there a point where it becomes too much for the central leadership? With the traditional way of organizing you do reach that point pretty fast. With the scalable organization concept, you never hit that point. The smallest unit can keep splitting like amoeba endlessly and the organization stays healthy and vibrant like there were no bricks in the sink.

About 10 members form the basic unit. It could be a LinkUp, it could be a House Party group. As soon as they hit 20, they split into two. The idea is that the leader should get to know each member of the group very well, and members should get to know each other very well. This is more than collecting people for free, slave labor of phone banking and knocking doors. This is more than a political unit. This is a social unit. This is community building.

Face time for the unit is when you meet in person, once a month. Additional events are optional. Screen time is screen time. And blogging is key to it. All 10 members are members of one blog.

One Blog One LinkUp One Atom

From there you go vertical. You build a pyramid of 10. And at each level there is one monthly meeting for Face Time, and there is one common blog. The leader of a 5 deep organization might choose to attend meetings of only the two top layers. That would be a valid choice.

That is the framework for a scalable organization, scalable both horizontally and vertically. And all along the organization stays kind of structureless. There is no pyramid. Instead there is a cloud. And it is set up such that the best ideas could come up from absolutely anywhere.

How do the best ideas rise to the top? There are two obvious channels. One, the leader at one level takes it up one step, and so on. Two, the author of the idea takes it to the comments section of the person whose attention she seeks.

And the idea of blogging the echo chamber. Say DFNYC goes 100,000 strong. But then New York is already a progressive city. Don't you end up spending all your time converting the converted? Not if you blog the echo chamber, no, you don't.

100,000 progressives attending monthly meetings and vibrant in a cloud of blogs that are all connected to each other will impact the nation. You cross the city boundaries without physically bothering to.

Say at the top you have the 10 central leaders. In Nepal the communists would call it the Politburo. I don't mind if we come up with a different name. The clique? The den? The beauty of the scalable organization model is these 10 individuals do not have to work 1,000 times harder by the time the organization grows from 100 to 100,000. Because the organization is scalable. It is like Microsoft producing the first copy of Windows. The first copy is a lot of work. After that it is endless replication.

I really think I got something here.

And if each of those 100,000 individuals sign up to give $10 to the DNC each month through the Democracy Bonds program, that is $1 million for power purposes. If that can be replicated in the top 10 cities, that is $10 million. Looks like the organization is not only scalable, but also duplicable.

And once you really get this thing going, you make possible all sorts of organizing and community building. For example, I envision an Indian Caucus, as in Asian Indians, although the Native Americans get called that because when Columbus landed, it all looked so beautiful to him, he felt he was in India. Indians could reach out across geographical boundaries and create a separate semi virtual pyramid of 10. The same applies to other possible groups, and not just ethnic groups. Could be issue groups. Could be interest groups. It is upto the imagination of the members as to what groups.

What say you?

And there could be one blog for all city and town groups in one state, then one blog with 50 members for the 50 states. The existing sites, be it DFA, DFA Link, even the DFNYC site, are like a skeleton. This concept adds flesh to the skeleton. The two don't go counter to each other. And Blogger is free and so easy to use, it goes with the democracy theme. We have to be constantly thinking about the average person.

Wednesday, November 16, 2005

Money, Message, Organization


Money

Dean's got a great idea. The Democratic Party should seek to be funded solely by small contributions. That is the best way to get money out of politics short term.

$10 a month by a million people is $10 million for the party. Two million people is twice as much. We do have that many core supporters. They just are not roped in and organized yet.

Message

One word: progressive.
One phrase: People Power.

Message is something you work on constantly. What will sound great today will have become out of date in five years. The basic theme will still be democracy, but the presentation will have to change.

This is not a top down mechanism. For the message part, the organization is a cloud. The best ideas could come from anywhere. That is one phase of it, when you are still trying to figure things out. But once you have figured it out, there has to be discipline. We will have to have talking points. We will have to learn to stay on message. We will need a rapid response mechanism. (The One Voice Concept)

I wrote my first draft of a proposed 10 point program. (2006: When DFA Could Really Grow) Everyone is welcome to write down their own 10 point program. By the time we are ready to go out to take back the Congress, there should be only one draft left, the final draft of a 10 point program.

Here is my first draft of a five point program.
  1. Balance the budget by having the top 5% pay 40, 39, 38, 37 and 36 per cent respectively.
  2. A clear exit strategy for Iraq such that US troops get phased out and Iraqi troops step in. Proactively spread democracy the progressive way to win the War On Terror.
  3. Universal health insurance for all children. And health care reform to introduce the market forces in the health care sector. You measure that by the adoption of information technology by the sector in all aspects of its operations. Bring the costs down for everybody.
  4. Universal, quality, well funded public education, replete with testing but not limited to it or by it. Federally funded scholarships for the top students in all public schools to be able to attend private schools. Expand college financial aid. Collaborate with the private sector to make textbooks available online for free, ad-based. Collaborate with the private sector to introduce ad-based, free, universal wireless broadband.
  5. Campaign finance reform, electoral reform. End voter intimidation and fraud.
Organization

This is key. Money and message flow out of a sound organization. I think we need to be thinking something akin to corporate mergers. I wonder if it is not time to merge DFA into DNC. As someone said last night, we have the top, and we have the bottom, now let's go get the middle.

But even if we don't merge, we need to work in synergy. There is this thing at the DFNYC site that I really dig. People can list events. And it all gets displayed in a chronological order. There has to be this one place online where all progressive events get listed. Hosts can decide if they should be open or closed or whatever. I think last night's meeting was great.

Do events, blog events. I can not emphasize this enough, especially for New York City Dems. Turn it into one big reality show, because there is an audience out there. Otherwise we spend too much of our time preaching to the converted. Like I say, blog the echo chamber and it is no echo chamber no more.

Organization is an ongoing challenge. We will perfect it as we go along.

The "I" Word: Monica And Saddam


Bill Clinton is Pele, someone like him comes along one in a generation perhaps. The guy is good. He was a scholarship student at Georgetown, at Oxford, at Yale Law School. He was a lower middle class person from Arkansas. He persevered.

Ken Starr came after him like a bad dream. Ken Starr destroyed lives. If you were Bill Clinton's friend in Arkansas Ken Starr was going to come after you. Scores got bankrupted, many went to jail because they would not give false testimony to lend credibility to Ken Starr's false stories and charges. Clinton got hounded. His wife got threatened with jail time.

A less lucky Martha Stewart did serve time. She got accused of a wrongdoing that she was never charged with. Instead the prosecutors claimed she lied at one point during her defense. One young white boy from Wall Street testified against her claiming he feared for his life. Martha Stewart is a gutsy, talented, rare, successful woman who got run down by a small bunch of insignificant white boy prosecutors who could not come up with an original thought even if they tried over a lifetime.

Michael Jackson was another person who was recently hounded by prosecutors. The more false details you can make up along the way, the longer the story lives. At the end of the day you are proven not guilty, but the prosecutors get to violate your privacy left, right and center in the mean time. And the crowd gets entertained.

Clinton will tell you of an Arakansas bias. Why did Dukakis not pick him in 1988? Martha is a woman, Michael in black.

Ken Starr was an ideologue. He would stop at nothing. He had limitless supplies of money from the taxpayers. He was going witch hunting. To the crowd it was entertainment. The plot seemed to have endless twists and turns. He hounded Clinton's friends and family with the passion of a Third World dictator. It was rule of law gone berserk.

And Monica happened. Something had to give in. It concluded in impeachment hearings.

Saddam tried to get Bush Sr. killed. Bush Jr. did not like it. I would not either if I were him.

And the Iraq War happened. Only this time you are looking at $200 billion, 2000 American lives, and tens of thousands of Iraqi lives, a nuclear North Korea, and a near nuclear Iran. Who tampered with the intelligence? Was stuff cooked? Was the country deliberately misled in the runup to the war?

Time to say the "I" word?

Howard Dean Is No Pacifist
3 Bomb Blasts Each: London, Delhi, Jordan
Bloomberg: No Mr. Security